House of Debt
How They (and You) Caused the Great Recession, and How We Can Prevent It from Happening Again
Though the banking crisis captured the public’s attention, Mian and Sufi argue strongly with actual data that current policy is too heavily biased toward protecting banks and creditors. Increasing the flow of credit, they show, is disastrously counterproductive when the fundamental problem is too much debt. As their research shows, excessive household debt leads to foreclosures, causing individuals to spend less and save more. Less spending means less demand for goods, followed by declines in production and huge job losses. How do we end such a cycle? With a direct attack on debt, say Mian and Sufi. More aggressive debt forgiveness after the crash helps, but as they illustrate, we can be rid of painful bubble-and-bust episodes only if the financial system moves away from its reliance on inflexible debt contracts. As an example, they propose new mortgage contracts that are built on the principle of risk-sharing, a concept that would have prevented the housing bubble from emerging in the first place.
Thoroughly grounded in compelling economic evidence, House of Debt offers convincing answers to some of the most important questions facing the modern economy today: Why do severe recessions happen? Could we have prevented the Great Recession and its consequences? And what actions are needed to prevent such crises going forward?
Financial Times & McKinsey & Company: Financial Times and McKinsey & Company Business Book of the Year
Association of American Publishers: PROSE Book Award
Part I: Busted
2. Debt and Destruction
3. Cutting Back
4. Levered Losses: The Theory
5. Explaining Unemployment
Part II: Boil and Bubble
6. The Credit Expansion
7. Conduit to Disaster
8. Debt and Bubbles
Part III: Stopping the Cycle
9. Save the Banks, Save the Economy?
11. Monetary and Fiscal Policy