About the Author

Bjørn Brunstad is a scenario methodology advisor at and Eivind Magnus is a senior economist and vice-president of ECON Analysis. Philip Swanson is a partner in ECON Analysis specializing in development issues. Geir Hønneland is director of the Russian and Polar Programme at the Fridtjof Nansen Institute in Norway. Indra øverland is a senior research fellow at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs.